Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.385447 0.426426 0.470435 0.521297 0.578562 0.641160 0.714929
2025-05-04 0.320699 0.377636 0.443305 0.525009 0.624446 0.742171 0.893041
2025-05-11 0.282858 0.347048 0.424670 0.526176 0.656481 0.819572 1.041409
2025-05-18 0.257680 0.326825 0.413718 0.532093 0.690950 0.899312 1.197527
2025-05-25 0.231294 0.301428 0.392392 0.520594 0.699154 0.942835 1.307154
2025-06-01 0.216530 0.289323 0.386535 0.527946 0.731911 1.020940 1.471532
2025-06-08 0.200379 0.273608 0.373919 0.523949 0.747144 1.074225 1.603755
2025-06-15 0.189001 0.263369 0.367709 0.527926 0.773418 1.144991 1.769021
2025-06-22 0.175643 0.249143 0.354454 0.519964 0.780310 1.185937 1.890104
2025-06-29 0.164607 0.237412 0.343806 0.514736 0.790405 1.231982 2.023490
2025-07-06 0.150697 0.220413 0.324004 0.493558 0.772886 1.231086 2.075406
2025-07-13 0.144662 0.214906 0.321234 0.498934 0.798784 1.304068 2.265001
2025-07-20 0.138882 0.209537 0.318485 0.504410 0.825809 1.382413 2.475678
2025-07-27 0.133185 0.203932 0.314969 0.508312 0.850434 1.458907 2.692538
2025-08-03 0.127414 0.197801 0.310116 0.509415 0.869948 1.527588 2.902002
2025-08-10 0.123016 0.193597 0.308089 0.515118 0.898024 1.614535 3.158961
2025-08-17 0.115849 0.184380 0.297064 0.504037 0.893971 1.639415 3.288643
2025-08-24 0.112466 0.181293 0.296222 0.511121 0.924649 1.734943 3.582749
2025-08-31 0.107467 0.175158 0.289712 0.507270 0.933749 1.787774 3.788310
2025-09-07 0.104075 0.171589 0.287449 0.511102 0.958156 1.874178 4.082153
2025-09-14 0.099119 0.165015 0.279447 0.503430 0.958674 1.910085 4.260824
2025-09-21 0.094891 0.159509 0.273051 0.498392 0.964114 1.956968 4.472381
2025-09-28 0.088714 0.150221 0.259267 0.477980 0.935814 1.926855 4.486712